Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Skeid vs Trygg/Lade

Skeid vs Trygg/Lade Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 12:00

Skeid

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Trygg/Lade

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-14.8%0-22.8%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.1%1-19.7%1-25.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.6%3-16.6%3-23.9%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-15.4%4+-23.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 54.0% 1.44 -22.2%

Draw 22.3% 4.50 +0.2%

Away win 23.8% 5.50 +18.5%

Over 2.5 64.1% 1.42 -9.0%

Over 3.5 39.8% 2.05 -18.4%

BTTS 61.6% 1.53 -5.8%

Home Over 1.5 55.8% 1.36 -24.1%

Away Over 1.5 37.0% 2.95 +9.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 4.9%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob61.6%

H 54% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.1%

#5 3–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skeid2.0

Trygg/Lade1.2

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SKEID · PPG 1.40

TRYGG/LADE · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Skeid (H) 54.0%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -22.2%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +0.2%

Trygg/Lade (A) 23.8%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +18.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skeid face Trygg/Lade in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skeid a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Trygg/Lade 24%, so Skeid are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Skeid and 1.2 for Trygg/Lade (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skeid are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.00 for Trygg/Lade. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +18.5%.

Skeid vs Trygg/Lade Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 Predictions