Today / Australia - Tasmania NPL / Launceston vs South East Utd
Launceston vs South East Utd Prediction— Australia - Tasmania NPL
Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 04:30
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 6.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 83.1% vs bookmaker-implied 85.5%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 26 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 73% / xG 5.1-1.5 / O2.5 83% / BTTS 69%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 6.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.1% · O3.5 PROB 72.7%
Form & verdict
LAUNCESTON · PPG 1.50
SOUTH EAST UTD · PPG 0.50
Home team in GOOD form (1.50), Away POOR (0.50) - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Launceston face South East Utd in Australia - Tasmania NPL on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Launceston a 73% chance, the draw 17% and South East Utd 10%, so Launceston are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.1 for Launceston and 1.5 for South East Utd (6.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Launceston are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.50 for South East Utd. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +115.2%.