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Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 18:45

Sligo Rovers

PPG 1.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shelbourne

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.1%0-114.4%0-210.3%0-34.9%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.8%1-112.5%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-03.8%2-15.4%2-23.8%2-31.8%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.1%3-11.6%3-21.1%3-30.5%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 23.8% 4.60 +5.7%

Draw 28.5% 3.60 +1.6%

Away win 47.7% 1.74 -17.0%

Over 2.5 49.8% 1.95 -2.9%

Over 3.5 28.6% 3.40 -1.7%

BTTS 52.8% 1.83 -3.4%

Home Over 1.5 32.5% 3.65 +18.6%

Away Over 1.5 38.9% 1.85 -28.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 59 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 22.3%

Bet Hit 72%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.8%

A 48% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–1 14.4%

#3 0–0 10.1%

#4 0–2 10.3%

#5 1–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sligo Rovers0.9

Shelbourne1.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SLIGO ROVERS · PPG 1.10

SHELBOURNE · PPG 1.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.90) vs Home AVERAGE (1.10)

Win probability 1X2

Sligo Rovers (H) 23.8%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +5.7%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +1.6%

Shelbourne (A) 47.7%

ODDS 1.74 · IMPLIED 57.5% EV -17.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sligo Rovers face Shelbourne in Ireland - Premier Division on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sligo Rovers a 24% chance, the draw 28% and Shelbourne 48%, so Shelbourne are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sligo Rovers and 1.4 for Shelbourne (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sligo Rovers are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 1.90 for Shelbourne. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +18.6%.

Sligo Rovers vs Shelbourne Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland - Premier Division Predictions