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United Nordic vs Oddevold Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 15:00

United Nordic

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Oddevold

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.6%0-15.8%0-24.8%0-32.6%0-4+1.5%1 1-06.1%1-19.9%1-28.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.2%2-18.4%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.9%3-14.8%3-23.9%3-32.1%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.0%4+-22.4%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 39.7% 2.60 +3.2%

Draw 24.7% 3.40 -9.6%

Away win 35.6% 2.60 -7.4%

Over 2.5 61.3% 1.83 +12.2%

Over 3.5 39.8% 3.00 +19.4%

BTTS 61.6% 1.60 -1.4%

Home Over 1.5 52.6% 2.25 +18.4%

Away Over 1.5 49.7% 2.25 +11.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -2.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.6%

H 40% / xG 1.7-1.6 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 8.4%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

United Nordic1.7

Oddevold1.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

UNITED NORDIC · PPG 2.17

ODDEVOLD · PPG 1.67

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

United Nordic (H) 39.7%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +3.2%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.6%

Oddevold (A) 35.6%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

United Nordic face Oddevold in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives United Nordic a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Oddevold 36%, so United Nordic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for United Nordic and 1.6 for Oddevold (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, United Nordic are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.67 for Oddevold. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.4%.

United Nordic vs Oddevold Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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