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Osters IF vs Landskrona BoIS Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 13:00

Osters IF logo
Osters IF
PPG 2.11 · HOME
0 – 1
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Landskrona BoIS logo
Landskrona BoIS
PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-18.6%0-25.1%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-010.5%1-112.4%1-27.3%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.5%2-18.9%2-25.3%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.6%3-14.3%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.3% 42.0% 2.38 +10.2%
Draw 24.8% 27.0% 3.70 -4.9%
Away win 28.9% 38.2% 2.62 -14.6%
Over 2.5 53.5% 64.5% 1.55 -17.1%
Over 3.5 32.3% 42.0% 2.38 -23.1%
BTTS 54.6% 69.4% 1.44 -21.4%
Home O1.5 45.4% 52.6% 1.90 -13.7%
Away O1.5 35.4% 50.0% 2.00 -29.2%

League track record

Based on 80 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 51%
BTTS 53%
Score Hit 40%
ROI -3.9%
Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-1
xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%
#2 0–0 7.3%
#3 2–1 8.9%
#4 1–0 10.5%
#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Osters IF1.4
Landskrona BoIS1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

OSTERS IF · PPG 2.11

LANDSKRONA BOIS · PPG 1.44

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.26 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Osters IF (H) 46.3%
ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV +10.2%
Draw 24.8%
ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -4.9%
Landskrona BoIS (A) 28.9%
ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -14.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Osters IF face Landskrona BoIS in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Osters IF a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Landskrona BoIS 29%, so Osters IF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Osters IF and 1.2 for Landskrona BoIS (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Osters IF are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.44 for Landskrona BoIS. This match finished 0-1.

PredictVantage

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