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GIF Sundsvall vs Ostersunds Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 15:00

GIF Sundsvall

PPG 0.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ostersunds

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.3% vs bookmaker-implied 51.3% — a clear edge.

+19.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.0%0-19.9%0-29.7%0-36.4%0-4+4.9%1 1-05.2%1-110.1%1-210.0%1-36.5%1-4+5.0%2 2-02.6%2-15.2%2-25.1%2-33.3%2-4+2.6%3 3-00.9%3-11.8%3-21.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 20.9% 3.70 -13.6%

Draw 22.1% 3.40 -14.9%

Away win 56.9% 1.95 +10.9%

Over 2.5 61.3% 1.95 +19.5%

Over 3.5 37.3% 3.45 +28.7%

BTTS 55.8% 1.75 -2.4%

Home Over 1.5 35.5% 3.10 +10.1%

Away Over 1.5 49.7% 2.00 -0.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -2.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob55.8%

A 57% / xG 1.0-2.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 1–2 10.0%

#3 0–2 9.7%

#4 0–1 9.9%

#5 0–0 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

GIF Sundsvall1.0

Ostersunds2.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GIF SUNDSVALL · PPG 0.86

OSTERSUNDS · PPG 1.14

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.86), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

GIF Sundsvall (H) 20.9%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -13.6%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -14.9%

Ostersunds (A) 56.9%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +10.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

GIF Sundsvall face Ostersunds in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives GIF Sundsvall a 21% chance, the draw 22% and Ostersunds 57%, so Ostersunds are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for GIF Sundsvall and 2.0 for Ostersunds (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, GIF Sundsvall are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.14 for Ostersunds. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +28.7%.

GIF Sundsvall vs Ostersunds Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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