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Ljungskile vs Orebro Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 13:00

Ljungskile

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Orebro

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.2%0-111.6%0-24.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.1%1-113.2%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.1%2-17.5%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.5%3-12.8%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 1.90 -15.8%

Draw 30.4% 3.60 +9.4%

Away win 25.3% 3.75 -3.1%

Over 2.5 37.3% 1.75 -34.7%

Over 3.5 19.2% 2.80 -27.7%

BTTS 48.1% 1.60 -23.0%

Home Over 1.5 35.5% 1.80 -36.1%

Away Over 1.5 22.9% 2.75 -22.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 49%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -2.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.1%

H 44% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.2%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.1%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ljungskile1.1

Orebro0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LJUNGSKILE · PPG 1.17

OREBRO · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Ljungskile (H) 44.3%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -15.8%

Draw 30.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +9.4%

Orebro (A) 25.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ljungskile face Orebro in Sweden - Superettan on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ljungskile a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Orebro 25%, so Ljungskile are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ljungskile and 0.8 for Orebro (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ljungskile are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 1.00 for Orebro. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +9.4%.

Ljungskile vs Orebro Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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