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Sandviken vs Notodden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 13:00

Sandviken

PPG 1.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Notodden

PPG 2.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-113.4%0-210.6%0-35.6%0-4+3.1%1 1-07.5%1-111.9%1-29.4%1-34.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-03.4%2-15.3%2-24.2%2-32.2%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.0%3-11.6%3-21.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 23.3% — —

Draw 27.2% — —

Away win 49.5% — —

Over 2.5 49.8% — —

Over 3.5 28.6% — —

BTTS 52.8% — —

Home Over 1.5 32.5% — —

Away Over 1.5 49.7% — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.8%

A 50% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 0–1 13.4%

#3 0–2 10.6%

#4 0–0 8.5%

#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken0.9

Notodden1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.20

NOTODDEN · PPG 2.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.17) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 23.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Notodden (A) 49.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face Notodden in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 23% chance, the draw 27% and Notodden 50%, so Notodden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sandviken and 1.6 for Notodden (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 2.17 for Notodden.

Sandviken vs Notodden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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