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Pors Grenland vs Arendal Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 13:00

Pors Grenland

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Arendal

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-110.0%0-23.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.0%1-112.6%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.8%2-18.0%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.5%3-13.4%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.4%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 48.0% 2.55 +22.4%

Draw 28.6% 3.40 -1.7%

Away win 23.3% 2.40 -26.5%

Over 2.5 42.0% 1.70 -28.6%

Over 3.5 22.9% 2.70 -22.9%

BTTS 48.1% 1.55 -25.4%

Home Over 1.5 43.1% 2.15 -7.3%

Away Over 1.5 22.9% 2.10 -31.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.1%

H 48% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.5%

#2 1–0 17.0%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 2–0 10.8%

#5 0–1 10.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pors Grenland1.3

Arendal0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

PORS GRENLAND · PPG 1.17

ARENDAL · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

Pors Grenland (H) 48.0%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV +22.4%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -1.7%

Arendal (A) 23.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -26.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pors Grenland face Arendal in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pors Grenland a 48% chance, the draw 29% and Arendal 23%, so Pors Grenland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pors Grenland and 0.7 for Arendal (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pors Grenland are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.40 for Arendal. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +22.4%.

Pors Grenland vs Arendal Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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