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Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction— China - Super League

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:35

Hangzhou Greentown

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Wuhan Three Towns

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.8% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.1%0-22.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-07.5%1-19.0%1-25.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.1%2-19.7%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.9%3-17.0%3-24.2%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.3%4+-16.3%4+-23.8%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% 59.2% 1.69 -9.4%

Draw 22.3% 25.6% 3.90 -7.8%

Away win 24.1% 24.4% 4.10 -0.7%

Over 2.5 63.8% 69.4% 1.44 -8.1%

Over 3.5 42.9% 47.6% 2.10 -9.9%

BTTS 62.6% 70.4% 1.42 -11.1%

Home O1.5 62.1% 66.7% 1.50 -6.9%

Away O1.5 35.6% 41.7% 2.40 -14.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 83 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -9.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.6%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.1%

#4 3–1 7.0%

#5 1–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hangzhou Greentown2.2

Wuhan Three Towns1.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HANGZHOU GREENTOWN · PPG 1.80

WUHAN THREE TOWNS · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.97 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hangzhou Greentown (H) 53.6%

ODDS 1.69 · IMPLIED 59.2% EV -9.4%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -7.8%

Wuhan Three Towns (A) 24.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -0.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hangzhou Greentown face Wuhan Three Towns in China - Super League on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hangzhou Greentown a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Wuhan Three Towns 24%, so Hangzhou Greentown are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Hangzhou Greentown and 1.2 for Wuhan Three Towns (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hangzhou Greentown are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.55 for Wuhan Three Towns.

Hangzhou Greentown vs Wuhan Three Towns Prediction— China - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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