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Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Hakka Prediction— China - League One

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 11:30

Nantong Zhiyun

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Meizhou Hakka

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-16.8%0-21.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.4%1-19.3%1-21.9%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.0%2-16.4%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-07.3%3-12.9%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 54.2% 1.45 -21.4%

Draw 27.6% 3.85 +3.8%

Away win 18.2% 6.50 +11.0%

Over 2.5 37.3% 1.83 -31.7%

Over 3.5 18.3% 3.10 -26.0%

BTTS 44.2% 1.90 -16.0%

Home Over 1.5 43.1% 1.60 -31.0%

Away Over 1.5 5.9% 4.33 -44.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 47%

Score Hit 71%

ROI -54.4%

Bet Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.2%

H 54% / xG 1.4-0.4 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 23.4%

#2 0–0 17.1%

#3 2–0 16.0%

#4 1–1 9.3%

#5 3–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nantong Zhiyun1.4

Meizhou Hakka0.4

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.3%

Form & verdict PPG

NANTONG ZHIYUN · PPG 3.00

MEIZHOU HAKKA · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=54.2%

Win probability 1X2

Nantong Zhiyun (H) 54.2%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -21.4%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +3.8%

Meizhou Hakka (A) 18.2%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Nantong Zhiyun face Meizhou Hakka in China - League One on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nantong Zhiyun a 54% chance, the draw 28% and Meizhou Hakka 18%, so Nantong Zhiyun are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Nantong Zhiyun and 0.4 for Meizhou Hakka (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nantong Zhiyun are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Meizhou Hakka. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +11.0%.

Nantong Zhiyun vs Meizhou Hakka Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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