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Hebei Kungfu vs Shaanxi Union Prediction— China - League One

Matchday 18 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 11:30

Hebei Kungfu

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Shaanxi Union

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.0%0-118.7%0-211.6%0-34.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.8%1-112.2%1-27.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-03.2%2-14.0%2-22.5%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-00.7%3-10.9%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% 30.8% 3.25 -4.0%

Draw 27.9% 33.3% 3.00 -9.8%

Away win 43.4% 46.5% 2.15 -6.7%

Over 2.5 43.8% 46.5% 2.15 -5.8%

Over 3.5 22.0% 25.3% 3.95 -7.9%

BTTS 47.9% 54.6% 1.83 -12.3%

Home O1.5 32.1% 32.3% 3.10 -0.5%

Away O1.5 35.7% 43.5% 2.30 -17.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -21.6%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.9%

A 43% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 18.7%

#2 0–0 15.0%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–2 11.6%

#5 1–0 9.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hebei Kungfu0.7

Shaanxi Union1.2

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.8% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HEBEI KUNGFU · PPG 1.00

SHAANXI UNION · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.59 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Hebei Kungfu (H) 28.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -4.0%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -9.8%

Shaanxi Union (A) 43.4%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -6.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hebei Kungfu face Shaanxi Union in China - League One on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hebei Kungfu a 29% chance, the draw 28% and Shaanxi Union 43%, so Shaanxi Union are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Hebei Kungfu and 1.2 for Shaanxi Union (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hebei Kungfu are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Shaanxi Union. This match finished 2-1.

Hebei Kungfu vs Shaanxi Union Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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