Today / China - League One / Wuxi Wugou vs Ningbo Professional

Wuxi Wugou vs Ningbo Professional Prediction— China - League One

Matchday 18 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 11:00

Wuxi Wugou

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ningbo Professional

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-17.6%0-23.8%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.9%1-112.0%1-26.0%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.5%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.0%3-15.0%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.8%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 47.6% 2.10 +0.4%

Draw 26.0% 30.8% 3.25 -9.3%

Away win 26.2% 31.3% 3.20 -9.7%

Over 2.5 50.3% 51.8% 1.93 -2.9%

Over 3.5 28.8% 30.8% 3.25 -3.8%

BTTS 53.1% 58.8% 1.70 -9.7%

Home O1.5 47.2% 47.6% 2.10 -0.9%

Away O1.5 31.1% 36.4% 2.75 -14.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 48%

ROI -21.6%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.1%

H 48% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 11.9%

#3 2–1 9.5%

#4 2–0 9.4%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wuxi Wugou1.6

Ningbo Professional1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WUXI WUGOU · PPG 1.50

NINGBO PROFESSIONAL · PPG 1.75

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Wuxi Wugou (H) 47.8%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +0.4%

Draw 26.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -9.3%

Ningbo Professional (A) 26.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -9.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wuxi Wugou face Ningbo Professional in China - League One on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wuxi Wugou a 48% chance, the draw 26% and Ningbo Professional 26%, so Wuxi Wugou are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Wuxi Wugou and 1.0 for Ningbo Professional (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wuxi Wugou are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Ningbo Professional. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +5.7%.

Wuxi Wugou vs Ningbo Professional Prediction— China - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League One Predictions