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Vidar vs Kvik Halden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Matchday 12 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 11:00

Vidar

PPG 0.33 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Kvik Halden

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 66.5% vs bookmaker-implied 50.0% — a clear edge.

+33.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-112.6%0-213.7%0-310.0%0-4+9.0%1 1-03.9%1-18.5%1-29.2%1-36.7%1-4+6.1%2 2-01.3%2-12.8%2-23.1%2-32.3%2-4+2.0%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% 33.3% 3.00 -37.0%

Draw 20.8% 27.0% 3.70 -13.8%

Away win 66.5% 50.0% 2.00 +33.0%

Over 2.5 61.3% 65.4% 1.53 -6.2%

Over 3.5 37.3% 42.6% 2.35 -12.3%

BTTS 52.5% 69.0% 1.45 -23.9%

Home O1.5 32.5% 45.5% 2.20 -28.5%

Away O1.5 56.8% 58.8% 1.70 -3.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -46.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob52.5%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.7%

#2 0–1 12.6%

#3 0–3 10.0%

#4 1–1 8.5%

#5 1–2 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vidar0.7

Kvik Halden2.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VIDAR · PPG 0.33

KVIK HALDEN · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.60) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Vidar (H) 12.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -37.0%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -13.8%

Kvik Halden (A) 66.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +33.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vidar face Kvik Halden in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vidar a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Kvik Halden 67%, so Kvik Halden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Vidar and 2.2 for Kvik Halden (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vidar are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.60 for Kvik Halden. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.0%. This match finished 2-4.

Vidar vs Kvik Halden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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