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Brazil - Serie A
Regular Season - 12
Arena Condá· Chapecó
Saturday, April 18, 2026
21:30
Chapecoense
PPG 1.17
1-4
MISS
Botafogo
PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +142.7%
✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
51.2%
Odds: 3.10
EV: +58.7%
Draw
18.7%
Odds: 3.35
EV: -37.4%
Away
30.0%
Odds: 2.24
EV: -32.8%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
83.1%
Odds: 2.00
+66.2%
Over 3.5
66.5%
Odds: 3.65
+142.7%
BTTS
79.5%
Odds: 1.77
+40.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-1
✘
2nd
2-2
✘
3rd
3-1
✘
4th
3-2
✘
5th
1-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Chapecoense
2.56
Botafogo
1.98
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
+66.2%
ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market:
Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader:
Over3.5(+142.7%)
Verdict & Form
✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.00)