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Brazil - Serie A logo Brazil flag Brazil - Serie A Regular Season - 12 Arena Condá· Chapecó Saturday, April 18, 2026 21:30
Chapecoense logo Chapecoense PPG 1.17
1-4 MISS
Botafogo logo Botafogo PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +142.7% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: +58.7%
Draw 18.7%
Odds: 3.35 EV: -37.4%
Away 30.0%
Odds: 2.24 EV: -32.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 83.1% Odds: 2.00 +66.2%
Over 3.5 66.5% Odds: 3.65 +142.7%
BTTS 79.5% Odds: 1.77 +40.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-2
3rd 3-1
4th 3-2
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Chapecoense
2.56
Botafogo
1.98

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +66.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+142.7%)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.17), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

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