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Traef vs Eik Tonsberg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 10:00

Traef

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eik Tonsberg

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.6% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-12.8%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.9%1-17.2%1-22.9%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.3%2-19.1%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.6%3-17.8%3-23.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.3%4+-19.1%4+-23.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 62.7% 1.50 -5.9%

Draw 18.1% 4.10 -15.5%

Away win 19.2% 5.40 +2.2%

Over 2.5 64.6% 1.55 +0.1%

Over 3.5 41.9% 2.38 -0.3%

BTTS 55.8% 1.60 -10.7%

Home Over 1.5 61.9% 1.45 -10.3%

Away Over 1.5 22.9% 3.20 -16.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -43.9%

Bet Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 56%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob55.8%

H 63% / xG 2.6-0.8 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.3%

#2 3–0 9.6%

#3 2–1 9.1%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 1–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Traef2.6

Eik Tonsberg0.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 41.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TRAEF · PPG 1.33

EIK TONSBERG · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Traef (H) 62.7%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -5.9%

Draw 18.1%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -15.5%

Eik Tonsberg (A) 19.2%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV +2.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Traef face Eik Tonsberg in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Traef a 63% chance, the draw 18% and Eik Tonsberg 19%, so Traef are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Traef and 0.8 for Eik Tonsberg (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Traef are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.00 for Eik Tonsberg. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +15.3%.

Traef vs Eik Tonsberg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 Predictions