Today / USA - Major League Soccer / Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami

Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

Matchday 8 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 20:30

Colorado Rapids

PPG 3.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWLW

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Inter Miami

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 80% chance

Combined xG of 6.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 96.2% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5% — a clear edge.

+32.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.2%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.1%1 1-00.6%1-11.1%1-21.0%1-30.6%1-4+0.5%2 2-01.5%2-12.7%2-22.5%2-31.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.4%3-14.4%3-24.1%3-32.5%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-011.1%4+-120.6%4+-219.1%4+-311.8%4+-4+8.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 83.2% 29.0% 3.45 +187.0%

Draw 8.6% 23.8% 4.20 -63.9%

Away win 8.2% 54.3% 1.84 -84.9%

Over 2.5 96.2% 72.5% 1.38 +32.8%

Over 3.5 90.0% 51.3% 1.95 +75.5%

BTTS 83.7% 73.5% 1.36 +13.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 68%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -8.5%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)4.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob83.7%

H 83% / xG 4.8-1.9 / O2.5 96% / BTTS 84%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 5.3%

#2 5–1 5.1%

#3 4–2 4.9%

#4 5–2 4.7%

#5 3–1 4.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Colorado Rapids4.8

Inter Miami1.9

COMBINED 6.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 96.2% · O3.5 PROB 90.0%

Form & verdict PPG

COLORADO RAPIDS · PPG 3.00

INTER MIAMI · PPG 2.00

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

Chance this pick lands

80%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (3.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Colorado Rapids (H) 83.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +187.0%

Draw 8.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -63.9%

Inter Miami (A) 8.2%

ODDS 1.84 · IMPLIED 54.3% EV -84.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Colorado Rapids face Inter Miami in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Colorado Rapids a 83% chance, the draw 9% and Inter Miami 8%, so Colorado Rapids are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.8 for Colorado Rapids and 1.9 for Inter Miami (6.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 96% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 84% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Colorado Rapids are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Inter Miami. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +187.0%. This match finished 2-3.

Colorado Rapids vs Inter Miami Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

Match Preview & Prediction

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