Today / Iceland - Úrvalsdeild / Breidablik vs Vikingur R.

Breidablik vs Vikingur R. Prediction— Iceland - Úrvalsdeild

Regular Season - 12 ·Thursday, June 25, 2026, 19:15

Breidablik

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vikingur R.

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 75.6% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-13.4%0-25.3%0-35.5%0-4+9.5%1 1-01.5%1-14.7%1-27.4%1-37.7%1-4+13.2%2 2-01.1%2-13.3%2-25.2%2-35.4%2-4+9.2%3 3-00.5%3-11.5%3-22.4%3-32.5%3-4+4.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.7%4+-21.1%4+-31.2%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 16.1% 4.33 -18.2%

Draw 17.4% 4.33 -14.8%

Away win 66.5% 1.57 +4.4%

Over 2.5 75.6% 1.30 -1.7%

Over 3.5 52.9% 1.77 -6.4%

BTTS 66.9% 1.33 -11.0%

Win probability 1X2

Breidablik (H) 16.1%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -18.2%

Draw 17.4%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -14.8%

Vikingur R. (A) 66.5%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV +4.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -16.2%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 74%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)3.1 BTTS prob66.9%

A 66% / xG 1.4-3.1 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.7%

#2 1–2 7.4%

#3 1–4 6.0%

#4 0–3 5.5%

#5 1–1 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Breidablik1.4

Vikingur R.3.1

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

BREIDABLIK · PPG 2.60

VIKINGUR R. · PPG 3.00

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.60) vs Away EXCELLENT (3.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Breidablik face Vikingur R. in Iceland - Úrvalsdeild on Thursday, June 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Breidablik a 16% chance, the draw 17% and Vikingur R. 67%, so Vikingur R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Breidablik and 3.1 for Vikingur R. (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Breidablik are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 3.00 for Vikingur R.. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +20.1%.

Breidablik vs Vikingur R. Prediction— Iceland - Úrvalsdeild

Match Preview & Prediction

More Iceland - Úrvalsdeild Predictions