Atletico Cali vs Union Magdalena Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX Clausura - 15 Estadio Alfonso Lastras· San Luis de Potosi Saturday, April 18, 2026 01:00

Atletico Cali PPG 0.57

0-2 HIT CS2

Union Magdalena PPG 2.50

Away· +46.1% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Atletico Cali face Union Magdalena in Mexico - Liga MX on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atletico Cali a 17% chance, the draw 25% and Union Magdalena 57%, so Union Magdalena are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Atletico Cali and 1.6 for Union Magdalena (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atletico Cali are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 2.50 for Union Magdalena. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +46.1%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 17.4%

Odds: 2.54 EV: -55.8%

Draw 25.1%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -10.9%

Away 57.5%

Odds: 2.54 EV: +46.1%

Model lean: Away

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.0% Odds: 1.70 -30.3%

Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: 2.80 -42.6%

BTTS 41.5% Odds: 1.57 -34.8%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✔

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico Cali

0.74

Union Magdalena

1.58

Model SuggestionAway +46.1% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 47%

BTTS/No 33%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 15.2%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home POOR (0.57)