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Querétaro W vs Cruz Azul W Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX Femenil

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 22:00

Querétaro W

PPG 0.73 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

UPCOMING

Cruz Azul W

PPG 1.05 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 65% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-15.4%0-25.1%0-33.2%0-4+2.3%1 1-04.8%1-19.0%1-28.5%1-35.3%1-4+3.8%2 2-04.0%2-17.5%2-27.1%2-34.4%2-4+3.2%3 3-02.2%3-14.2%3-23.9%3-32.5%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-12.5%4+-22.4%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.6% 18.7% 5.34 +84.8%

Draw 22.1% 22.2% 4.50 -0.3%

Away win 43.3% 68.5% 1.46 -36.8%

Over 2.5 65.1% — — —

Over 3.5 44.9% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 58.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 19%

ROI -1.5%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.5%

A 43% / xG 1.7-1.9 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.0%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 1–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Querétaro W1.7

Cruz Azul W1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.1% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

QUERÉTARO W · PPG 0.73

CRUZ AZUL W · PPG 1.05

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

65%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Querétaro W (H) 34.6%

ODDS 5.34 · IMPLIED 18.7% EV +84.8%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV -0.3%

Cruz Azul W (A) 43.3%

ODDS 1.46 · IMPLIED 68.5% EV -36.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Querétaro W face Cruz Azul W in Mexico - Liga MX Femenil on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Querétaro W a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Cruz Azul W 43%, so Cruz Azul W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Querétaro W and 1.9 for Cruz Azul W (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Querétaro W are averaging 0.73 points per game versus 1.05 for Cruz Azul W.

Querétaro W vs Cruz Azul W Prediction— Mexico - Liga MX Femenil

Match Preview & Prediction

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