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Gold C. Knights vs Eastern Suburbs Prediction— Australia - Queensland NPL

Regular Season - 13 ·Tuesday, June 23, 2026, 09:30

Gold C. Knights

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Eastern Suburbs

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 68.6% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.0%0-22.9%0-31.9%0-4+1.4%1 1-03.5%1-16.7%1-26.5%1-34.2%1-4+3.2%2 2-03.8%2-17.4%2-27.2%2-34.7%2-4+3.6%3 3-02.8%3-15.5%3-25.4%3-33.5%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-15.1%4+-25.0%4+-33.2%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 44.1% 1.95 -14.0%

Draw 21.6% 3.80 -10.8%

Away win 34.3% 3.00 +2.9%

Over 2.5 66.3% 1.45 -3.9%

Over 3.5 48.3% 2.15 +3.8%

BTTS 68.6% 1.42 -2.6%

Win probability 1X2

Gold C. Knights (H) 44.1%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -14.0%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -10.8%

Eastern Suburbs (A) 34.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +2.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 89%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 16.1%

Bet Hit 89%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob68.6%

H 44% / xG 2.2-1.9 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.7%

#2 2–1 7.4%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 3–1 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gold C. Knights2.2

Eastern Suburbs1.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 48.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GOLD C. KNIGHTS · PPG 2.50

EASTERN SUBURBS · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away EXCELLENT (2.14)

Match Preview & Prediction

Gold C. Knights face Eastern Suburbs in Australia - Queensland NPL on Tuesday, June 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gold C. Knights a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Eastern Suburbs 34%, so Gold C. Knights are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Gold C. Knights and 1.9 for Eastern Suburbs (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gold C. Knights are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.14 for Eastern Suburbs. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +14.3%.

Gold C. Knights vs Eastern Suburbs Prediction— Australia - Queensland NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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