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Orebro vs Sandviken Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, June 22, 2026, 17:05

Orebro

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sandviken

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.8% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-112.1%0-27.9%0-33.5%0-4+1.5%1 1-09.9%1-113.0%1-28.5%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.3%2-16.9%2-24.5%2-32.0%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.9%3-12.5%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 30.9% 2.70 -16.6%

Draw 26.4% 3.55 -3.8%

Away win 42.7% 2.40 +2.5%

Over 2.5 49.5% 1.75 -13.4%

Over 3.5 29.2% 2.85 -10.1%

BTTS 52.8% 1.57 -17.1%

Win probability 1X2

Orebro (H) 30.9%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -16.6%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -3.8%

Sandviken (A) 42.7%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV +2.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -2.9%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 22%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.8%

A 43% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 0–1 12.1%

#4 1–2 8.5%

#5 1–0 9.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Orebro1.1

Sandviken1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.2%

Form & verdict PPG

OREBRO · PPG 1.17

SANDVIKEN · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.80)

Match Preview & Prediction

Orebro face Sandviken in Sweden - Superettan on Monday, June 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Orebro a 31% chance, the draw 26% and Sandviken 43%, so Sandviken are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Orebro and 1.3 for Sandviken (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Orebro are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.80 for Sandviken. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.5%.

Orebro vs Sandviken Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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