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Varberg BoIS vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Matchday 13 ·Monday, June 22, 2026, 17:00

Varberg BoIS

PPG 2.17 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Landskrona

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-18.1%0-24.3%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.4%1-112.2%1-26.5%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.3%2-24.9%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.4%3-14.7%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.5%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 52.6% 1.90 -12.0%

Draw 25.5% 28.6% 3.50 -6.5%

Away win 28.2% 26.0% 3.85 +5.1%

Over 2.5 53.8% 54.1% 1.85 -0.5%

Over 3.5 32.2% 32.3% 3.10 -0.2%

BTTS 55.9% 59.9% 1.67 -6.7%

Home O1.5 43.4% 54.1% 1.85 -19.7%

Away O1.5 34.3% 33.9% 2.95 +1.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -3.5%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.9%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 0–0 7.6%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Varberg BoIS1.5

Landskrona1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VARBERG BOIS · PPG 2.17

LANDSKRONA · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Varberg BoIS (H) 46.3%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -12.0%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.5%

Landskrona (A) 28.2%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Varberg BoIS face Landskrona in Sweden - Superettan on Monday, June 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Varberg BoIS a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Landskrona 28%, so Varberg BoIS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Varberg BoIS and 1.1 for Landskrona (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Varberg BoIS are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.67 for Landskrona. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.1%. This match finished 2-3.

Varberg BoIS vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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