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Varberg BoIS vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, June 22, 2026, 17:00

Varberg BoIS

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Landskrona

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-18.1%0-24.3%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.4%1-112.2%1-26.5%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.7%2-19.3%2-24.9%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.4%3-14.7%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.5%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 1.90 -12.0%

Draw 25.5% 3.50 -6.5%

Away win 28.2% 3.85 +5.1%

Over 2.5 53.8% 1.85 -0.5%

Over 3.5 32.2% 3.10 -0.2%

BTTS 55.9% 1.67 -6.7%

Win probability 1X2

Varberg BoIS (H) 46.3%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -12.0%

Draw 25.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.5%

Landskrona (A) 28.2%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +5.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -2.9%

Bet Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.9%

H 46% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 0–0 7.6%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Varberg BoIS1.5

Landskrona1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VARBERG BOIS · PPG 2.17

LANDSKRONA · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.17) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Match Preview & Prediction

Varberg BoIS face Landskrona in Sweden - Superettan on Monday, June 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Varberg BoIS a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Landskrona 28%, so Varberg BoIS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Varberg BoIS and 1.1 for Landskrona (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Varberg BoIS are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.67 for Landskrona. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.1%.

Varberg BoIS vs Landskrona Prediction— Sweden - Superettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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