Today / Sweden - Superettan / Oddevold vs Ljungskile
Oddevold vs Ljungskile Prediction— Sweden - Superettan
Regular Season - 13 ·Monday, June 22, 2026, 17:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1% — a real, if thin, edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Win probability
League track record ↗
Based on 45 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
H 50% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%
Form & verdict
ODDEVOLD · PPG 1.33
LJUNGSKILE · PPG 0.83
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.33) > Away POOR (0.83)
Match Preview & Prediction
Oddevold face Ljungskile in Sweden - Superettan on Monday, June 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oddevold a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Ljungskile 27%, so Oddevold are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Oddevold and 1.3 for Ljungskile (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oddevold are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.83 for Ljungskile. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.0%.