Today / Georgia - Erovnuli Liga / Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga
Regular Season - 19 ·Monday, June 22, 2026, 17:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.1% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a real, if thin, edge.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Win probability
Correct score prediction
H 53% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.1% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%
Form & verdict
TORPEDO KUTAISI · PPG 1.56
SPAERI · PPG 1.00
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)
Match Preview & Prediction
Torpedo Kutaisi face Spaeri in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Monday, June 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torpedo Kutaisi a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Spaeri 24%, so Torpedo Kutaisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 1.0 for Spaeri (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torpedo Kutaisi are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.00 for Spaeri. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +14.6%.