Rustavi vs Meshakhte Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Georgia - Erovnuli Liga Regular Season - 17 David Petriashvili Stadium· Tbilisi Saturday, June 13, 2026 15:00

Rustavi PPG 2.25

VS PENDING

Meshakhte PPG 0.75

Away· +14.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Rustavi face Meshakhte in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rustavi a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Meshakhte 19%, so Rustavi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Rustavi and 0.6 for Meshakhte (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rustavi are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.75 for Meshakhte. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.7%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -15.5%

Draw 22.2%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -13.4%

Away 19.1%

Odds: 6.50 EV: +14.5%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.9% Odds: 2.05 +0.2%

Over 3.5 28.1% Odds: 3.80 +4.1%

BTTS 47.8% Odds: 2.10 +0.4%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 2-0

3rd 1-1

4th 0-0

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Rustavi

1.73

Meshakhte

0.60

Model SuggestionHome -15.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -15.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+14.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 49%

BTTS/No 43%

Score Hit 43%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs P(Home)=58.7%