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Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Matchday 20 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 16:00

Rustavi

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Torpedo Kutaisi

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-112.0%0-25.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.1%1-113.4%1-26.4%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.9%2-17.5%2-23.6%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.9%3-12.8%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.2% — — —

Draw 28.7% — — —

Away win 30.1% — — —

Over 2.5 44.8% — — —

Over 3.5 23.6% — — —

BTTS 49.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 27.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -5.3%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.6%

H 41% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0 14.1%

#4 0–1 12.0%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rustavi1.1

Torpedo Kutaisi1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 23.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RUSTAVI · PPG 2.33

TORPEDO KUTAISI · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.17, combined xG 2.08 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Rustavi (H) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Torpedo Kutaisi (A) 30.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rustavi face Torpedo Kutaisi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rustavi a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Torpedo Kutaisi 30%, so Rustavi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Rustavi and 1.0 for Torpedo Kutaisi (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rustavi are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Torpedo Kutaisi.

Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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