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Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Batumi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Regular Season - 18 ·Wednesday, June 17, 2026, 17:00

Torpedo Kutaisi

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dinamo Batumi

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 54.0% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-15.6%0-22.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.5%1-110.5%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.9%2-19.9%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.8%3-16.2%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-14.5%4+-22.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 1.50 -20.5%

Draw 23.7% 3.60 -8.8%

Away win 23.4% 5.50 +17.2%

Over 2.5 54.0% 1.80 -2.8%

Over 3.5 32.6% 2.70 -12.0%

BTTS 52.6% 1.80 -5.3%

Win probability 1X2

Torpedo Kutaisi (H) 53.0%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -20.5%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -8.8%

Dinamo Batumi (A) 23.4%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +17.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 53% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–0 10.9%

#3 1–0 11.5%

#4 2–1 9.9%

#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torpedo Kutaisi1.9

Dinamo Batumi0.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TORPEDO KUTAISI · PPG 1.75

DINAMO BATUMI · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=53.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi face Dinamo Batumi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torpedo Kutaisi a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Dinamo Batumi 23%, so Torpedo Kutaisi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.9 for Dinamo Batumi (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torpedo Kutaisi are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.88 for Dinamo Batumi. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +17.2%.

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Batumi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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