Today / Fram vs Vikingur R.

Fram vs Vikingur R. Prediction

Sunday, June 21, 2026

Fram

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vikingur R.

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.9%0-24.7%0-35.1%0-4+9.1%1 1-01.4%1-14.3%1-27.0%1-37.5%1-4+13.5%2 2-01.0%2-13.2%2-25.2%2-35.5%2-4+10.0%3 3-00.5%3-11.6%3-22.6%3-32.7%3-4+4.9%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.8%4+-21.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+2.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 17.3% — —

Draw 17.0% — —

Away win 65.7% — —

Over 2.5 77.0% — —

Over 3.5 53.2% — —

BTTS 68.1% — —

Win probability 1X2

Fram (H) 17.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vikingur R. (A) 65.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 75%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob68.1%

A 66% / xG 1.5-3.2 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3 7.5%

#2 1–2 7.0%

#3 1–4 6.0%

#4 2–3 5.5%

#5 2–2 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fram1.5

Vikingur R.3.2

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FRAM · PPG 2.60

VIKINGUR R. · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.60) vs Away EXCELLENT (3.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Fram face Vikingur R. on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fram a 17% chance, the draw 17% and Vikingur R. 66%, so Vikingur R. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Fram and 3.2 for Vikingur R. (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fram are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 3.00 for Vikingur R..

Fram vs Vikingur R. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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