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Central Norte vs Godoy Cruz Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 4 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 19:30

Central Norte logo
Central Norte
PPG 1.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Godoy Cruz logo
Godoy Cruz
PPG 0.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.5%0-119.6%0-26.5%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.4%1-110.9%1-23.6%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.6%2-13.0%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.9%3-10.6%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 30.3% 3.25 -1.5%
Draw 38.7% 2.65 +2.5%
Away win 31.0% 2.38 -26.2%
Over 2.5 29.6% 2.90 -8.5%
Over 3.5 12.1% 7.00 -9.2%
BTTS 43.2% 2.20 -5.0%

Win probability 1X2

Central Norte (H) 30.3%
ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -1.5%
Draw 38.7%
ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV +2.5%
Godoy Cruz (A) 31.0%
ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -26.2%

League track record

Based on 134 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5 71%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 69%
ROI 0.3%
Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.2%

D 39% / xG 0.6-0.7 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.5%
#2 0–1 19.6%
#3 1–0 16.4%
#4 1–1 10.9%
#5 0–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Norte0.6
Godoy Cruz0.7

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.6% · O3.5 PROB 12.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL NORTE · PPG 1.00

GODOY CRUZ · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Norte face Godoy Cruz in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Norte a 30% chance, the draw 39% and Godoy Cruz 31%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Central Norte and 0.7 for Godoy Cruz (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Norte are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Godoy Cruz. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +24.7%.

PredictVantage

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