Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Brattvag vs Jerv

Brattvag vs Jerv Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 12:00

Brattvag logo
Brattvag
PPG 3.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Jerv logo
Jerv
PPG 2.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-19.8%0-24.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.7%1-112.9%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.7%2-18.5%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.2%3-13.7%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 45.2% 2.20 -0.6%
Draw 30.1% 3.55 +6.9%
Away win 24.7% 2.80 -18.5%
Over 2.5 45.0% 1.55 -30.3%
Over 3.5 25.6% 2.38 -23.4%
BTTS 48.5% 1.45 -29.7%

Win probability 1X2

Brattvag (H) 45.2%
ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -0.6%
Draw 30.1%
ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV +6.9%
Jerv (A) 24.7%
ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -18.5%

League track record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5 28%
BTTS 48%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -61.8%
Bet Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

H 45% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%
#2 0–0 11.2%
#3 1–0 14.7%
#4 2–0 9.7%
#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brattvag1.3
Jerv0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.0% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BRATTVAG · PPG 3.00

JERV · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (3.00) > Away EXCELLENT (2.60)

Match Preview & Prediction

Brattvag face Jerv in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brattvag a 45% chance, the draw 30% and Jerv 25%, so Brattvag are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Brattvag and 0.9 for Jerv (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brattvag are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.60 for Jerv. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.9%.

PredictVantage

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