Sligo Rovers vs Waterford Prediction— Ireland - Premier Division

Ireland - Premier Division Regular Season - 12 Showgrounds· Sligo Saturday, April 18, 2026 18:45

Sligo Rovers PPG 0.80

2-0 HIT CS5

Waterford PPG 0.20

Draw· +4.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sligo Rovers face Waterford in Ireland - Premier Division on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sligo Rovers a 43% chance, the draw 30% and Waterford 27%, so Sligo Rovers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sligo Rovers and 0.9 for Waterford (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sligo Rovers are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 0.20 for Waterford. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +4.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.8%

Odds: 2.08 EV: -11.0%

Draw 30.2%

Odds: 3.45 EV: +4.2%

Away 27.0%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -9.6%

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 32.7% Odds: 1.85 -39.5%

Over 3.5 14.6% Odds: 3.25 -52.5%

BTTS 39.5% Odds: 1.70 -32.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Sligo Rovers

1.16

Waterford

0.85

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.80) > Away POOR (0.20)