Today / Belarus - Premier League / Isloch vs Belshina

Isloch vs Belshina Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 15:30

Isloch logo
Isloch
PPG 2.40 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Belshina logo
Belshina
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 64.4% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-14.3%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.5%1-18.7%1-22.6%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.8%2-18.9%2-22.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.1%3-16.1%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.2%4+-15.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 64.4% 1.33 -14.3%
Draw 21.6% 4.20 -5.6%
Away win 14.0% 8.50 +11.4%
Over 2.5 53.6% 1.89 +1.3%
Over 3.5 32.5% 3.12 +1.4%
BTTS 48.1% 2.25 +8.2%
Home Over 1.5 57.9% 1.56 -9.7%
Away Over 1.5 18.0% 6.75 +12.9%

League track record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 52%
BTTS 30%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -13.7%
Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.1%

H 64% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.8%
#2 1–0 14.5%
#3 3–0 10.1%
#4 1–1 8.7%
#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Isloch2.0
Belshina0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.6% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ISLOCH · PPG 2.40

BELSHINA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Isloch (H) 64.4%
ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -14.3%
Draw 21.6%
ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -5.6%
Belshina (A) 14.0%
ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV +11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Isloch face Belshina in Belarus - Premier League on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Isloch a 64% chance, the draw 22% and Belshina 14%, so Isloch are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Isloch and 0.6 for Belshina (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Isloch are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 0.00 for Belshina. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +12.9%.

PredictVantage

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