Today / Belarus - Premier League / Isloch vs Belshina

Isloch vs Belshina Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 15:30

Isloch

PPG 2.40 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWD

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Belshina

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDWL

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 64.4% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-14.3%0-21.3%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.5%1-18.7%1-22.6%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.8%2-18.9%2-22.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.1%3-16.1%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.2%4+-15.0%4+-21.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.4% 75.2% 1.33 -14.3%

Draw 21.6% 23.8% 4.20 -5.6%

Away win 14.0% 11.8% 8.50 +11.4%

Over 2.5 53.6% 52.9% 1.89 +1.3%

Over 3.5 32.5% 32.1% 3.12 +1.4%

BTTS 48.1% 44.4% 2.25 +8.2%

Home O1.5 57.9% 64.1% 1.56 -9.7%

Away O1.5 18.0% 14.8% 6.75 +12.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.1%

H 64% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.8%

#2 1–0 14.5%

#3 3–0 10.1%

#4 1–1 8.7%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Isloch2.0

Belshina0.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.6% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ISLOCH · PPG 2.40

BELSHINA · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Isloch (H) 64.4%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -14.3%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -5.6%

Belshina (A) 14.0%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV +11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Isloch face Belshina in Belarus - Premier League on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Isloch a 64% chance, the draw 22% and Belshina 14%, so Isloch are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Isloch and 0.6 for Belshina (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Isloch are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 0.00 for Belshina. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +12.9%. This match finished 4-0.

Isloch vs Belshina Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Belarus - Premier League Predictions