Today / Belarus - Premier League / Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Grodno

Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Grodno Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, June 28, 2026, 15:00

Dnepr Mogilev

PPG 0.60 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDDD

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Neman Grodno

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-120.0%0-211.8%0-34.7%0-4+1.8%1 1-010.1%1-111.9%1-27.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-03.0%2-13.5%2-22.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.6%3-10.7%3-20.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.4% 21.7% 4.60 +1.8%

Draw 31.0% 30.3% 3.30 +2.3%

Away win 46.7% 59.9% 1.67 -22.0%

Over 2.5 37.3% 50.8% 1.97 -26.5%

Over 3.5 19.3% 30.3% 3.30 -21.8%

BTTS 47.4% 52.4% 1.91 -9.5%

Home O1.5 32.5% 24.1% 4.15 +34.9%

Away O1.5 36.7% 53.8% 1.86 -31.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob47.4%

A 47% / xG 0.6-1.2 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.9%

#2 0–1 20.0%

#3 1–1 11.9%

#4 0–2 11.8%

#5 1–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dnepr Mogilev0.6

Neman Grodno1.2

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DNEPR MOGILEV · PPG 0.60

NEMAN GRODNO · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Dnepr Mogilev (H) 22.4%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +1.8%

Draw 31.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +2.3%

Neman Grodno (A) 46.7%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -22.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dnepr Mogilev face Neman Grodno in Belarus - Premier League on Sunday, June 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dnepr Mogilev a 22% chance, the draw 31% and Neman Grodno 47%, so Neman Grodno are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Dnepr Mogilev and 1.2 for Neman Grodno (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dnepr Mogilev are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 2.00 for Neman Grodno. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +34.9%. This match finished 2-0.

Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Grodno Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Belarus - Premier League Predictions