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Roa W vs Honefoss W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 11:30

Roa W

PPG 0.25 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Honefoss W

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.25), Away POOR (0.20)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-18.2%0-24.5%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-011.2%1-112.3%1-26.7%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.4%2-19.2%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.2%3-14.6%3-22.5%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.4%4+-21.3%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.7% — — —

Draw 24.8% — — —

Away win 27.5% — — —

Over 2.5 54.3% — — —

Over 3.5 32.5% — — —

BTTS 55.7% — — —

Home O1.5 45.7% — — —

Away O1.5 32.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.7%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.3%

#2 1–0 11.2%

#3 0–0 7.5%

#4 2–1 9.2%

#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Roa W1.5

Honefoss W1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ROA W · PPG 0.25

HONEFOSS W · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.25), Away POOR (0.20)

Win probability 1X2

Roa W (H) 47.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Honefoss W (A) 27.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Roa W face Honefoss W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Roa W a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Honefoss W 28%, so Roa W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Roa W and 1.1 for Honefoss W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Roa W are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 0.20 for Honefoss W. This match finished 1-1.

Roa W vs Honefoss W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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