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LSK Kvinner W vs Aalesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 11:30

LSK Kvinner W

PPG 1.20 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Aalesund W

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-14.7%0-25.2%0-33.8%0-4+3.5%1 1-03.5%1-17.8%1-28.5%1-36.2%1-4+5.7%2 2-02.9%2-16.4%2-27.0%2-35.1%2-4+4.7%3 3-01.6%3-13.5%3-23.8%3-32.8%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-12.1%4+-22.3%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 22.4% — — —

Away win 42.5% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 42.8% — — —

BTTS 63.7% — — —

Home O1.5 54.8% — — —

Away O1.5 62.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob63.7%

A 42% / xG 1.6-2.2 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.8%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–2 7.0%

#4 2–1 6.4%

#5 1–3 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

LSK Kvinner W1.6

Aalesund W2.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

LSK KVINNER W · PPG 1.20

AALESUND W · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

LSK Kvinner W (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Aalesund W (A) 42.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

LSK Kvinner W face Aalesund W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives LSK Kvinner W a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Aalesund W 43%, so Aalesund W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for LSK Kvinner W and 2.2 for Aalesund W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, LSK Kvinner W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 2.25 for Aalesund W. This match finished 0-3.

LSK Kvinner W vs Aalesund W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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