Today / Norway - Toppserien / Haugesund W vs Bodo/Glimt W

Haugesund W vs Bodo/Glimt W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 11:30

Haugesund W logo
Haugesund W
PPG 1.20 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5
Bodo/Glimt W logo
Bodo/Glimt W
PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-11.0%0-20.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-03.6%1-13.7%1-21.9%1-30.6%1-4+0.2%2 2-06.4%2-16.6%2-23.4%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-07.6%3-17.8%3-24.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-017.2%4+-117.7%4+-29.1%4+-33.1%4+-4+1.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 66.8%
Draw 18.6%
Away win 14.6%
Over 2.5 76.1%
Over 3.5 53.4%
BTTS 61.6%
Home O1.5 76.0%
Away O1.5 31.7%

League track record

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 58%
BTTS 54%
Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 72%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)3.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob61.6%

H 67% / xG 3.6-1.0 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.8%
#2 3–0 7.6%
#3 4–1 7.0%
#4 4–0 6.8%
#5 2–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Haugesund W3.6
Bodo/Glimt W1.0

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.1% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HAUGESUND W · PPG 1.20

BODO/GLIMT W · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.20), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Haugesund W (H) 66.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Bodo/Glimt W (A) 14.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Haugesund W face Bodo/Glimt W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Haugesund W a 67% chance, the draw 19% and Bodo/Glimt W 15%, so Haugesund W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Haugesund W and 1.0 for Bodo/Glimt W (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Haugesund W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.25 for Bodo/Glimt W. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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