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Stabaek W vs Molde W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 11:30

Stabaek W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Molde W

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-16.4%0-23.4%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-010.5%1-111.2%1-25.9%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.2%2-19.8%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.4%3-15.7%3-23.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-13.7%4+-22.0%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.5% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 24.9% — — —

Over 2.5 60.6% — — —

Over 3.5 37.1% — — —

BTTS 55.7% — — —

Home O1.5 54.8% — — —

Away O1.5 32.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.7%

H 50% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 2–1✓ 9.8%

#3 2–0 9.2%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 0–0 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stabaek W1.8

Molde W1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.6% · O3.5 PROB 37.1%

Form & verdict PPG

STABAEK W · PPG 1.00

MOLDE W · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Stabaek W (H) 50.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Molde W (A) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stabaek W face Molde W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stabaek W a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Molde W 25%, so Stabaek W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Stabaek W and 1.1 for Molde W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stabaek W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Molde W. This match finished 2-1.

Stabaek W vs Molde W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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