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Lyn W vs Rosenborg W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 11:30

Lyn W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

4 – 4

FULL TIME

Rosenborg W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.3%0-19.4%0-23.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.4%1-112.3%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.4%2-18.1%2-22.9%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.0%3-13.5%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% 28.6% 3.50 +72.2%

Draw 27.5% 30.3% 3.30 -5.5%

Away win 23.3% 54.1% 1.85 -34.1%

Over 2.5 43.2% 55.6% 1.80 -22.2%

Over 3.5 22.9% 34.7% 2.88 -20.4%

BTTS 47.8% 60.6% 1.65 -21.1%

Home O1.5 41.6% 35.2% 2.84 +18.1%

Away O1.5 24.3% 54.1% 1.85 -33.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-4

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.8%

H 49% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.4%

#2 0–0 13.3%

#3 1–1 12.3%

#4 2–0 11.4%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyn W1.3

Rosenborg W0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LYN W · PPG 2.00

ROSENBORG W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Lyn W (H) 49.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +72.2%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.5%

Rosenborg W (A) 23.3%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -34.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyn W face Rosenborg W in Norway - Toppserien on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyn W a 49% chance, the draw 28% and Rosenborg W 23%, so Lyn W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lyn W and 0.7 for Rosenborg W (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyn W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Rosenborg W. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +72.2%. This match finished 4-4.

Lyn W vs Rosenborg W Prediction— Norway - Toppserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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