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Levanger vs Stjørdals-Blink Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Matchday 15 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 14:00

Levanger

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Stjørdals-Blink

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.2% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-13.2%0-21.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-06.9%1-17.8%1-24.4%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.3%2-19.5%2-25.4%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.8%3-17.7%3-24.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-07.3%4+-18.3%4+-24.7%4+-31.8%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.0% 62.5% 1.60 -8.8%

Draw 22.0% 24.4% 4.10 -5.9%

Away win 21.0% 22.7% 4.40 -4.6%

Over 2.5 65.2% 69.0% 1.45 -5.5%

Over 3.5 43.6% 46.5% 2.15 -6.3%

BTTS 61.8% 67.6% 1.48 -8.5%

Home O1.5 62.4% 69.0% 1.45 -9.5%

Away O1.5 35.4% 38.2% 2.62 -7.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.8%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.8%

H 57% / xG 2.4-1.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.5%

#2 1–1 7.8%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 3–1 7.7%

#5 3–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Levanger2.4

Stjørdals-Blink1.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LEVANGER · PPG 2.00

STJØRDALS-BLINK · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.30 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Levanger (H) 57.0%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -8.8%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -5.9%

Stjørdals-Blink (A) 21.0%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -4.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Levanger face Stjørdals-Blink in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Levanger a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Stjørdals-Blink 21%, so Levanger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Levanger and 1.1 for Stjørdals-Blink (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Levanger are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.29 for Stjørdals-Blink. This match finished 1-2.

Levanger vs Stjørdals-Blink Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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