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Italy - Serie A
Regular Season - 33
Stadio Olimpico· Rome
Saturday, April 18, 2026
18:45
AS Roma
PPG 2.19
1-1
HIT CS3
Atalanta
PPG 1.40
Home· +25.3%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
50.1%
Odds: 2.50
EV: +25.3%
Draw
29.3%
Odds: 3.20
EV: -6.2%
Away
20.7%
Odds: 2.80
EV: -42.0%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
31.9%
Odds: 2.00
-36.2%
Over 3.5
14.0%
Odds: 3.45
-51.7%
BTTS
36.6%
Odds: 1.75
-35.9%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✔
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Roma
1.28
Atalanta
0.71
Model Suggestion
Home
+25.3%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.19) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)