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Incheon Red Angels W vs Gumi Sportstoto W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 19 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 10:00

Incheon Red Angels W

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gumi Sportstoto W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.15, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-112.5%0-27.6%0-33.0%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.9%1-113.2%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.8%2-17.0%2-24.3%2-31.7%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.1%3-12.5%3-21.5%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.7% — — —

Draw 28.2% — — —

Away win 38.1% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 82%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 42.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.1%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 10.3%

#3 0–1 12.5%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 1–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Incheon Red Angels W1.1

Gumi Sportstoto W1.2

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

INCHEON RED ANGELS W · PPG 1.33

GUMI SPORTSTOTO W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.15, combined xG 2.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Incheon Red Angels W (H) 33.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gumi Sportstoto W (A) 38.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Incheon Red Angels W face Gumi Sportstoto W in South-Korea - WK-League on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Incheon Red Angels W a 34% chance, the draw 28% and Gumi Sportstoto W 38%, so Gumi Sportstoto W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Incheon Red Angels W and 1.2 for Gumi Sportstoto W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Incheon Red Angels W are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.40 for Gumi Sportstoto W.

Incheon Red Angels W vs Gumi Sportstoto W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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