Today / South-Korea - WK-League / Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W

Suwon FMC W vs Gumi Sportstoto W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Regular Season - 18 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 10:00

Suwon FMC W logo
Suwon FMC W
PPG 1.86 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Gumi Sportstoto W logo
Gumi Sportstoto W
PPG 1.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-13.2%0-21.4%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.2%1-17.8%1-23.3%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.2%2-19.4%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.1%3-17.6%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-09.8%4+-18.2%4+-23.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 61.9%
Draw 20.4%
Away win 17.6%
Over 2.5 63.2%
Over 3.5 39.8%
BTTS 53.3%
Home O1.5 60.1%
Away O1.5 20.3%

League track record

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%
O2.5 62%
BTTS 69%
Score Hit 23%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.3%

H 62% / xG 2.4-0.8 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.2%
#2 2–1 9.4%
#3 3–0 9.1%
#4 1–1 7.8%
#5 1–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suwon FMC W2.4
Gumi Sportstoto W0.8

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SUWON FMC W · PPG 1.86

GUMI SPORTSTOTO W · PPG 1.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 1.86 vs 1.56 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Suwon FMC W (H) 61.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Gumi Sportstoto W (A) 17.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suwon FMC W face Gumi Sportstoto W in South-Korea - WK-League on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suwon FMC W a 62% chance, the draw 20% and Gumi Sportstoto W 18%, so Suwon FMC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Suwon FMC W and 0.8 for Gumi Sportstoto W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suwon FMC W are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.56 for Gumi Sportstoto W.

PredictVantage

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