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Hwacheon KSPO W vs Gyeongju W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 19 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 10:00

Hwacheon KSPO W

PPG 2.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gyeongju W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.0%0-18.9%0-24.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.1%1-112.6%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.9%2-18.9%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.7%3-14.2%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 25.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 23.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 82%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 42.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob53.1%

H 48% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 14.1%

#3 0–0 10.0%

#4 2–0 9.9%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hwacheon KSPO W1.4

Gyeongju W0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HWACHEON KSPO W · PPG 2.11

GYEONGJU W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hwacheon KSPO W (H) 48.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gyeongju W (A) 25.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hwacheon KSPO W face Gyeongju W in South-Korea - WK-League on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hwacheon KSPO W a 48% chance, the draw 27% and Gyeongju W 25%, so Hwacheon KSPO W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hwacheon KSPO W and 0.9 for Gyeongju W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hwacheon KSPO W are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 2.00 for Gyeongju W.

Hwacheon KSPO W vs Gyeongju W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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