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Gyeongju W vs Boeun Sangmu W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 10:00

Gyeongju W

PPG 0.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Boeun Sangmu W

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.03, combined xG 2.17 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-112.2%0-26.5%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.6%1-113.4%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.9%2-17.4%2-23.9%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.5%3-12.7%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.1% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 28.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.7% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 50.3% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 77%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 23%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob50.3%

H 43% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 12.6%

#4 0–1 12.2%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gyeongju W1.1

Boeun Sangmu W1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GYEONGJU W · PPG 0.89

BOEUN SANGMU W · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.03, combined xG 2.17 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gyeongju W (H) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Boeun Sangmu W (A) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gyeongju W face Boeun Sangmu W in South-Korea - WK-League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gyeongju W a 43% chance, the draw 28% and Boeun Sangmu W 29%, so Gyeongju W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Gyeongju W and 1.1 for Boeun Sangmu W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gyeongju W are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 2.14 for Boeun Sangmu W.

Gyeongju W vs Boeun Sangmu W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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