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Boeun Sangmu W vs Seoul W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Matchday 19 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 10:30

Boeun Sangmu W

PPG 0.80 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Seoul W

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.01, combined xG 2.23 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-111.9%0-26.6%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.0%1-113.4%1-27.4%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.7%2-17.5%2-24.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.5%3-12.8%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% — — —

Draw 28.0% — — —

Away win 35.1% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.2% — — —

Home O1.5 32.1% — — —

Away O1.5 35.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 42.2%

Bet Hit 80%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.2%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 10.8%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–1✓ 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Boeun Sangmu W1.1

Seoul W1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BOEUN SANGMU W · PPG 0.80

SEOUL W · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.01, combined xG 2.23 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Boeun Sangmu W (H) 36.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Seoul W (A) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Boeun Sangmu W face Seoul W in South-Korea - WK-League on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Boeun Sangmu W a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Seoul W 35%, so Boeun Sangmu W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Boeun Sangmu W and 1.1 for Seoul W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Boeun Sangmu W are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.12 for Seoul W. This match finished 2-1.

Boeun Sangmu W vs Seoul W Prediction— South-Korea - WK-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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