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CF Montreal vs New York RB Prediction— USA - Major League Soccer

USA - Major League Soccer logo USA flag USA - Major League Soccer Regular Season - 8 Saputo Stadium· Montreal Saturday, April 18, 2026 18:30
CF Montreal logo CF Montreal PPG 0.00
4-1 MISS
New York RB logo New York RB PPG 1.25
Over3.5· +70.9% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

CF Montreal face New York RB in USA - Major League Soccer on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CF Montreal a 37% chance, the draw 18% and New York RB 45%, so New York RB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for CF Montreal and 2.6 for New York RB (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 87% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 84% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CF Montreal are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.25 for New York RB. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +70.9%. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.6%
Odds: 2.48 EV: -9.2%
Draw 18.4%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -30.1%
Away 44.9%
Odds: 2.50 EV: +12.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 87.1% Odds: 1.55 +35.0%
Over 3.5 72.7% Odds: 2.35 +70.9%
BTTS 83.7% Odds: 1.45 +21.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2
2nd 2-3
3rd 1-2
4th 3-2
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

CF Montreal
2.35
New York RB
2.59

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +35.0% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+70.9%)

League Track Record

Based on 76 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 41%
ROI -11.7%
Bet Hit 50% (48 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org