Today / Ireland - First Division / Cobh Ramblers vs Finn Harps

Cobh Ramblers vs Finn Harps Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Matchday 20 ·Friday, June 19, 2026, 18:45

Cobh Ramblers

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWD

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Finn Harps

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 55.7% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-17.2%0-22.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.6%1-111.6%1-24.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.7%2-19.3%2-23.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-06.3%3-15.0%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-12.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.7% 63.7% 1.57 -12.6%

Draw 24.2% 25.0% 4.00 -1.9%

Away win 20.1% 18.5% 5.40 +5.1%

Over 2.5 49.5% 57.1% 1.75 -13.4%

Over 3.5 29.0% 34.7% 2.88 -9.9%

BTTS 50.5% 57.1% 1.75 -11.6%

Home O1.5 50.3% 61.7% 1.62 -18.5%

Away O1.5 23.2% 27.0% 3.70 -8.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 84 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 10.6%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob50.5%

H 56% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 14.6%

#3 2–0 11.7%

#4 0–0 9.1%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cobh Ramblers1.6

Finn Harps0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.0%

Form & verdict PPG

COBH RAMBLERS · PPG 1.44

FINN HARPS · PPG 0.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.44) vs P(Home)=55.7%

Win probability 1X2

Cobh Ramblers (H) 55.7%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -12.6%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.9%

Finn Harps (A) 20.1%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV +5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cobh Ramblers face Finn Harps in Ireland - First Division on Friday, June 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cobh Ramblers a 56% chance, the draw 24% and Finn Harps 20%, so Cobh Ramblers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Cobh Ramblers and 0.8 for Finn Harps (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cobh Ramblers are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.56 for Finn Harps. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +5.1%. This match finished 3-1.

Cobh Ramblers vs Finn Harps Prediction— Ireland - First Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland - First Division Predictions