Deportivo Moron vs Colon Santa Fe Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Moron face Colon Santa Fe in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Moron a 60% chance, the draw 24% and Colon Santa Fe 16%, so Deportivo Moron are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Deportivo Moron and 0.7 for Colon Santa Fe (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Moron are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 1.33 for Colon Santa Fe. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.0%. This match finished 2-0.