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Chaco For Ever vs CA Estudiantes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 28 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 19:00

Chaco For Ever

PPG 1.46 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWD

UPCOMING

CA Estudiantes

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLWLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-110.6%0-23.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.7%1-112.7%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.6%2-17.6%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.2%3-13.0%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.5% 43.5% 2.30 +9.3%

Draw 28.6% 36.4% 2.75 -12.8%

Away win 23.9% 29.4% 3.40 -11.2%

Over 2.5 41.6% 29.4% 3.40 +41.4%

Over 3.5 20.9% 14.3% 7.00 +27.8%

BTTS 48.0% 41.7% 2.40 +15.2%

Home O1.5 33.0% 30.8% 3.25 +7.2%

Away O1.5 18.8% 22.2% 4.50 -9.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 296 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -6.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.0%

H 48% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.7%

#2 0–0 14.8%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 2–0 10.6%

#5 0–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chaco For Ever1.2

CA Estudiantes0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.6% · O3.5 PROB 20.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CHACO FOR EVER · PPG 1.46

CA ESTUDIANTES · PPG 1.23

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

48%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.48, combined xG 1.91 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Chaco For Ever (H) 47.5%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +9.3%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -12.8%

CA Estudiantes (A) 23.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -11.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chaco For Ever face CA Estudiantes in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chaco For Ever a 48% chance, the draw 29% and CA Estudiantes 24%, so Chaco For Ever are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Chaco For Ever and 0.7 for CA Estudiantes (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chaco For Ever are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.23 for CA Estudiantes. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +41.4%.

Chaco For Ever vs CA Estudiantes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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